4 candidates are likely : Lepen, Fillon, Melenchon, Macron.
Incredibly they all have a good chance : they're all 1-2 points from each other.
Marine Lepen has almost 100% of chances to be at the second tour, the question is who's going to go with her.
I'd hope for a Melenchon - Lepen final, so it could really wake France up


That would really push a change.
But I think it's going to be Macron - Lepen. And Macron is going to be the president. Nothing will change.